Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = ME Polar Bear Coach = Bill MasonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.1825409 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.5) 13- 6 306 H Western New England CCC (11- 7, 92.1) 19- 9 309 H Middlebury NESCAC (12- 9, 97.2) 16-10 313 A Endicott CCC (16- 2, 94.8) 14-17 316 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.0) 19-11 319 A MIT NEWMAC ( 6-10, 90.7) 22-14 326 A Babson NEWMAC (16- 4, 96.0) 6-13 330 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.8) 15- 8 402 A Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.3) 16-14 410 H Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 91.8) 25- 5 413 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.3) 14- 6 415 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.8) 19- 8 420 A Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 4, 97.4) 12-16 424 A Tufts NESCAC (18- 3, 99.9) 13-16 427 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.3) 14- 4 504 N Middlebury NESCAC (12- 9, 97.2) 9-17 511 A Grove City PAC (15- 5, 92.8) 23- 9 512 A RPI Liberty Leagu (17- 3, 97.6) 12- 5 518 N Middlebury NESCAC (12- 9, 97.2) 12- 7 519 A RIT Liberty Leagu (21- 3, 99.8) 11-19
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Trinity 13- 6 7 5 1.63 306 H Western New England 19- 9 10 6 0.25 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.32 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.63 316 A Connecticut College 19-11 8 6 0.51 319 A MIT 22-14 8 6 0.26 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.45 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.32 402 A Bates 16-14 2 7 -- -5.00 410 H Colby 25- 5 20 7 0.00 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 3 + 3.47 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 2 ++ 4.90 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.06 424 A Tufts 13-16 -3 -2 -0.57 427 H Williams 14- 4 10 3 + 3.47 504 N Middlebury 9-17 -8 0 --- -7.98 511 A Grove City 23- 9 14 4 + 2.37 512 A RPI 12- 5 7 0 +++ 7.11 518 N Middlebury 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.02 519 A RIT 11-19 -8 -2 -- -4.71UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.45 504 N Middlebury 9-17 -8 0 --- -7.98 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.63 402 A Bates 16-14 2 7 -- -5.00 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.06 519 A RIT 11-19 -8 -2 -- -4.71OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A RPI 12- 5 7 0 +++ 7.11 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.32 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.32 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 2 ++ 4.90 518 N Middlebury 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.02 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 3 + 3.47 427 H Williams 14- 4 10 3 + 3.47 511 A Grove City 23- 9 14 4 + 2.37
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.18 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 88.31 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7240 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .6505 RPI Rank................... 10 Champ. Probability ...... 8.0 Championship Rank ......... 3 Selection sum ........... 36 Selection Rank ............ 9 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 80. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 17 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3