Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = ME Polar Bear Coach = Bill MasonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.9370422 home-field advantage = -0.68 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.8) 13- 6 306 H Western New England CCC (11- 7, 92.5) 19- 9 309 H Middlebury NESCAC (10- 7, 97.5) 16-10 313 A Endicott CCC (16- 1, 95.6) 14-17 316 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.3) 19-11 319 A MIT NEWMAC ( 6-10, 91.1) 22-14 326 A Babson NEWMAC (15- 3, 96.6) 6-13 330 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.0) 15- 8 402 A Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.6) 16-14 410 H Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 92.3) 25- 5 413 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.6) 14- 6 415 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 97.0) 19- 8 420 A Wesleyan NESCAC (14- 3, 98.0) 12-16 424 A Tufts NESCAC (13- 3, 99.7) 13-16 427 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.6) 14- 4 504 N Middlebury NESCAC (10- 7, 97.5) 9-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Trinity 13- 6 7 4 + 2.15 306 H Western New England 19- 9 10 6 0.87 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.83 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 1 -- -4.70 316 A Connecticut College 19-11 8 6 0.99 319 A MIT 22-14 8 6 0.81 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 0 --- -7.66 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.76 402 A Bates 16-14 2 6 -- -4.71 410 H Colby 25- 5 20 6 0.71 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 3 + 3.97 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 1 ++ 5.41 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 - -3.24 424 A Tufts 13-16 -3 -2 -0.60 427 H Williams 14- 4 10 3 + 3.97 504 N Middlebury 9-17 -8 0 --- -7.49UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 0 --- -7.66 504 N Middlebury 9-17 -8 0 --- -7.49 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 1 -- -4.70 402 A Bates 16-14 2 6 -- -4.71 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 - -3.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.83 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.76 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 1 ++ 5.41 302 H Trinity 13- 6 7 4 + 2.15 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 3 + 3.97 427 H Williams 14- 4 10 3 + 3.97
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.94 Power Rank................. 7 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 88.02 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 6 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6816 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 26 RPI Rating............... .6271 RPI Rank................... 23 Champ. Probability ...... 8.5 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 87 Selection Rank ............ 26 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 13 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -30. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 38 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3